All Knowing, All Seeing?

Don't you find it interesting, this huge growth of "the prediction industry?"  It seems like zillions of people in media today are claiming this or that will or won't happen.  I've never done been one to buy into it, until my area of expertise came into focus as the target will-they-or-won't-they skepticism. So being a journalist, I did researchread a lot, scheduled a coffee meeting with my editor, accepted advice from Mike Greenberg and went outside to check the wind direction.  
 
Here's my outlook for 2011:  First, a disclaimer. The opinions expressed here are not those of management- mostly because it's better to beg for forgiveness than ask for permission. In other words, Amy has more important things to track.
 
1. There Are Opportunities Out There
Ask yourself, "Do I simply want a job?  Or, am I looking for an opportunity?"  The difference is you can find a job.  In the approaching year, more people will look for their next chance at professional growth and factor that in to finding their next job.  I expect, for example, some in journalism will re-cast it as an opportunity.  Journalism can't thrive (nor survive, as we have witnessed) by just reacting to events. The new brands understand this and are opening doors to those who are available to take advantage. Look for continued investment in deeper news coverage by the newer brands while the older brands start to remember why they are here and step-up looking for partnerships with the newbies.  
 
2. D-I-Y (Do It Yourself) a.k.a "Entrepreneurship"
I know first-hand what a little bit of investment and mentoring can do for a motivated individual. Imagine what a lot of investment in ideas and the people behind those ideas could do?  Look for more "mom and pop" media related companies to develop and become known. The barriers to entry will keep dropping as long as you don't construct a barrier yourself, through bad fiscal management and overestimating how many people enjoy working for free.  More and more foundations are getting behind small, media-related business development and so is the federal government. Yes, those suits up here in Washington are wanting to give you money to help start up your idea.  Are you in line?
 
3. Multiple Revenue Streams
When people ask me, "So, what do you do?" My standard answer is, "I have three revenue streams, so I get paid to do what I enjoy doing."  I expect to hear variations on that theme more in 2011 because it is no longer taboo to have more than one job.  If you had multiple revenue streams 20 years ago, you had a problem.  Today it's almost expected.  How many of you who have one main source of income also have that thing you do on the side?  Look for more people do move that thing on the side to front and center in the coming year.
 
    4. Separate Is Not Equal
    Partnerships will keep growing and female CEO's will continue to lead this trend.   Some of the newer companies that have quickly built reputations (minus "Groupon" it seems) will be absorbed into something that already exists. That always happens  But for everyone else, we'll look for equal partners to build out the rest of our big ideas.  Women- minority women especially- outnumber men in college and will likely continue to do so. This will result in more start-ups led by women.  I certainly saw it during our "New U" entrepreneurship boot-camp in 2010 and I expect to see it more in the future. Wonder what Carly Fiorina and Meg Whitman are doing now?
 
    5. Meanwhile, Go Learn Something
    Colleges and universities, online and on land, will continue to do brisk business even in the face of sustained budget cuts. As the cost of in classroom education continues to skyrocket, it won't be long before the vacuum of online education fills, bringing with it further legitimization. Ten years ago, few people met online. Nowadays, lots of relationships attribute their introductions to the web and that number will increase to fill the demand. Likewise, there is still a tremendous need for a skilled, educated population.  If you're not doing what you can to learn new skills or stay up with what you have learned, you'll quickly be out of luck.  There are too many people who do qualify for plumb jobs these days; too many people willing to adjust their expectations.  Some will still be able to coast, most will not.  Don't just complain. Go learn to be the boss- the boss of your career.
 
I hope next year we realize we need remember how make things that other people around the world want. Investment isn't just about spending money, it's about time, effort, humility and sacrifice.  Right now, I think our biggest export is music, our biggest import is people and our biggest problem is a crumbling physical infrastructure and yet our biggest asset remains our belief that we can do anything, if just given a chance and some luck.  
 
So, what say you?
 
doug@knowledgewebb.net
 
*Chantal de la Rionda edits this blog